How Do I Value My Startup?
I am often asked what is the value of my business or how
much ownership do I have to give up. Too often a potential client insists their
business is worth millions and investors would be falling over themselves to
rush to give the business owner millions for a few percent ownership.
There are thousands of pages written about how to value a
startup or pre-revenue company. Before proceeding with yet another page on how
to value your startup I’ll give you the simple answer. A business, like
anything, is worth what someone is willing to pay.
For owners valuing their business is often an emotional
exercise. For investors it is a logical exercise in math.
Each business sector has an accepted multiple to set the
value for companies generating revenue and profits. Depending on your sector
the multiple is either times revenue, EBITDA, or profit. E.g. at 3 times
revenue, if you have $1 million in revenue your business is worth $3 million. If
you have revenue and no profits usually the multiple will not apply.
Pre-revenue companies present a bit of a challenge in
establishing a value and more of a challenge in making the case to investors
your company is worth what you say. The formula for your value is to divide the
amount of money you seek by the percentage you are offering. For example if you
are offering 10% ownership in exchange for a $1 million investment you are
saying your company is worth $10 million dollars. If you have no revenue,
profits, or liquid assets, you must make the business case of why your business
is worth $10 million.
Investor formulas, and areas of importance, for valuing
pre-revenue companies vary. One Angel Group had a simple formula for the
starting valuation: the Angel’s investment divided by the sum of owners money
invested plus the Angel’s money to be invested. If the owners invested $1 million and want $10
million investment total money invested would be $11 million. $10 from Angels
divided by $11 million equals 90% ownership. Their starting value of the Angel investment.
The final deal generally is for an ownership amount between
the percentage ownership offered and the starting percentage ownership
established by the investor provided the business can make the case that the
business is worth their offering and the business has the talent and experience
to execute the business plan and deliver the pro forma financial projections.
Making the case your business is worth what you say begins with
finding investors who will consider pre-revenue companies in your sector and
invests in the range you are are seeking, getting your information in front of
them, and convincing an investor your business plan is realistic and
achievable.
Some key areas used to value your pre-revenue company are:
Supply and demand
The economic principles of supply and demand apply to
valuing your business. The scarcer a supply (your hot new patented product, or interested
investors competing for the deal and driving up your valuation in the process),
the higher the demand.
Before you start soliciting investment, make sure your
business will be perceived as new and unique to maximize your valuation.
Your industry
Each industry typically has its unique valuation
methodologies.
Before you go to investors with valuation expectations, make
sure you have studied the valuations achieved in recent financings or M&A transactions
in your industry (private company valuations typically get a 25 percent to 35
percent discount to public company valuations).
Your phase of the
business
Are you in concept development, prototype development,
pre-revenue the phase your business is at will be a key consideration in determining
valuation.
Third party
validation of your business plan
Often I’m told ‘this is a multi-billion dollar industry.’
Great, but are there studies showing people want your product or service or
what makes your product or service unique? Are there studies showing your industry
sector grows at the rate projected?
Management and Team
Experience
Your business plan must demonstrate the team has industry
knowledge and a track record of accomplishment. Once you convince the investor
your numbers are realistic you must convince them your team can execute and
deliver the numbers. Investors will look at business successes as an indicator of
your ability to deliver.
Investor Return
Most Investors want a return on their money and want to exit
(be cashed out) in 3 to 5 years. They want to see returns begin fairly quickly.
They are not interested in pride of ownership or long term investments.
At the end of the day, the investor will have a very good
sense to what a business is worth, and what they are willing to pay for it. As
they see deals all the time and typically have their finger on the market
pulse.
So, collect a few term sheets from multiple investors, and
compare and contrast valuations and other terms, and play them off each other
to get the best deal. As a rule of thumb, expect to give up 25 to 35 percent of
your equity, in each equity financing you make.
There are too many nuances to valuing a startup to give you
a full picture of valuing a startup. Hopefully this short post will have you
thinking about establishing a realistic valuation for your startup.
Click here for help with your valuation
Click here for help with your valuation
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